Weather Forecasting

Meteorology : Weather Forecasting

Part 1: Upper-Level Charts

https://lh6.googleusercontent.com/QDfPSiRHbnKSMlYkN6QG_hVov2-HaqwvHUzyF8U8tJy7IlVG2rux4pDGMX9RdNZCcXgQ57gvlwhEHzAdSfhmPgr0p3n_zs93owun3FZ8NcWLfS34e5JTn_LRpPVFV7RqY7o9FF9o

First, review the purpose of 500mb charts and how to read wind barbs.

1 (+1): Analyze the 500mb chart above. If a low-pressure system is located in Texas (find the yellow “X”), what direction will the low-pressure system most likely move: East, North, South, or West?

2 (+1): Over California, examine the movement of air using the 500mb chart.

https://lh5.googleusercontent.com/sBJt6MdLIA3Mh2yJyCQvE46z2L5bQH0kreUiP3fSc3ftRRBpfdCsJfR8Ht9fZvZQNl2SPKEevZDlDMhIT67CPYItrwUCh1oWZ8aJvT4SZrOXyeMujXn9wYWVRRyQudqtvgQR2QqS

What direction will the low-pressure system (marked by the yellow “X” in the image) most likely move: Northeast, Southeast, Southwest, or Northwest?

3 (+1): Now let us connect last week’s work on air masses to this week’s work. Identify the air mass (marked by the yellow “X” in the image) that will be moving over California. Hint: go back to the last module for this and connect the topics

4 (+1): Using the characteristics of the air mass you indicated in the question above, make a general weather prediction for California (rainy or clear, hot or cold will be good enough, no more detail is needed).

Part 2 Surface Map Analysis

This is a surface weather map:

Surface weather map

See all the symbols? They tell a story about the weather at each location. First, we have to decide what they mean.

Examine the following table (all temperatures in Celsius)

Station 1 Station 2 Station 3
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/ZTfqhjNJnfCARNQTcP0xOQvJRsv50sG2Fvk7BL4wQlEh7VEn9W9mltZYJdqdjJea_xJ5zVGVTPnoOwV48Gjk35Oi63yVJyB8luzB1pgqumucmIdBgPUqN4dHGnOf9mnCKpnOdjus Discussion Board Nine https://lh5.googleusercontent.com/rvxLKfstJv-YY5Sr5G7tF3iOa2uP6eX3Aq231v27Ae-Poai9rXmBgZ3EoopfzYFitTlNywZjqWs46zYvaNBxAd8a5wUH-eenOP4ngAdMx2vy6iyEpTJaAavVBjbEEuweoCV-6pvH

4 (+1): The temperature at station 1 is __________

5 (+1): The dew point at station 2 is __________

6 (+1): The air pressure at station 1 is __________ Hint, it is not 24, go watch the video lesson

7 (+1): The air pressure at station 3 is __________ Hint, it is not 24, go watch the video lesson

8 (+1): What is the wind direction at station 3? Hint: remember, we name winds based on where they come from

9 (+1): Think back to relative humidity and the relationship between temperature and dew point. Which station has the highest relative humidity?

10 (+1): The wind speed at station 1 is __________

Examine the following image

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/wGBbF7nVqvLN9K6goGApJh0wj3BMINS7KykMIIORIJuWmgCXSzYx0sTs-g2NiAWRM_6mmfSntFLM7jzc_XKOhThzBgvjr-kOKZizuTiEukR7-ehqkk8t3s6LZqH6yFlnuN_dbnfk

11 (+1): Identify which location is closest to the center of the low-pressure system AND indicate the pressure reading. Hint: the location with the lowest pressure will be closest to the center of the low-pressure system

12 (+1): Identify which location is closest to the cold front and describe your reasoning in one or two sentences.

13 (+1): Identify which location is closest to the warm front and describe your reasoning in one or two sentences.

14 (+1): You are a forecaster and handed the map above. Which of the four locations would most likely experience strong thunderstorms? Identify the location and describe your reasoning in one or two sentences. Hint, think back to cold and warm fronts.

Part 3 Hurricane Forecasting

Ensemble hurricane plot

In hurricane season, Floridians are very familiar with these types of images often called “spaghetti models.”

15 (+1): “Spaghetti models” represent a type of forecasting called __________________.

16 (+1): Describe how these types of forecasts are made and describe their importance in weather forecasting, especially hurricanes.